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    Economic Analysis and Policy

    Economic Analysis and Policy

    JournalISSN 0313-5926eISSN 0313-5926中科院 经济学 2区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(3569)

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    1NewFiscal Compensation and Income Resilience under an External Shock: Evidence from Hubei, China
    Yuxuan Chen
    2026
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    2NewInternational Co-Movements of Carbon Dioxide Emissions: A Dynamic Factor Model with Global, Group, and Country-Specific Components
    Ahmet Tunc,Ali Gokhan Yucel, David Mayo,Junsoo Lee,Saban Nazlioglu
    2026
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    3NewHealth Effects of Ecological Civilization Development Pilot on the Middle-aged and Elderly Rural Residents: Evidence from China
    Kai-yang Fu, Ji-bing Yang,Chan-Wang,You-hua Chen
    2026
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    4NewTwo Crises, Divergent Recoveries: Fiscal Policy Transmission and Labor Market Dynamics from the Great Recession to COVID-19
    Veysel Avsar, Ahmed H. Kamara, Niraj P. Koirala

    Using a quantitative search-and-matching framework, we examine how fiscal policy transmits through labor markets under fundamentally different crisis environments, comparing outcomes during the Great Recession with those of the COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce public-health frictions as reduced-form wedges that constrain labor utilization and consumption, thereby generating underutilization and forced savings without relying on explicit epidemiological SIR models. This framework preserves a common labor-market structure while allowing shocks to operate either through aggregate demand, as in the Great Recession, or through utilization constraints, as observed during the COVID-19 episode. Calibrated to the U.S. economy, the results show that large-scale fiscal support associated with the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act and the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) stabilized household income and prevented persistent unemployment but also raised the shadow value of nonemployment and increased reservation wages. In a supply-constrained environment, such aggressive fiscal support generates more persistent inflation and lowers the equilibrium job-filling probability, producing fewer matches per vacancy and elevated vacancy rates as firms compete for scarce workers. These results highlight that fiscal interventions that are effective in demand-driven downturns may exacerbate labor market tightness and inflationary pressures when supply is constrained. By holding the labor market structure fixed, the paper isolates how the underlying shock regime fundamentally reshapes fiscal transmission. These findings should be read as identifying a policy trade-off between consumption stabilization on the one hand, and inflationary and labor-market costs on the other, rather than as a general argument against fiscal support in supply-constrained crises.

    2026
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    5NewData Assetization, Resource Allocation Optimization, and Enterprise Total Factor Productivity
    Weijie Hu, Ting Zhu, Chuan Sun
    2026
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    立即登录,查看全部 3569 篇论文

    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Shunsuke Managi133847
    Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary116623
    Chien‐Chiang Lee113323
    Muhammad Umar100314
    George Halkos98425
    Benno Torgler81511
    Samuel Adams7496
    Xuan Vinh Vo68714
    Jorge Martinez-Vazquez6712
    L. A. Duhs6434

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Shunsuke Managi133847
    George Halkos98425
    Chien‐Chiang Lee113323
    Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary116623
    Clement Tisdell60921
    Clevo Wilson46421
    l a duhs12419
    Chun-Ping Chang61118
    Dengkui Si29017
    Brian Dollery17415

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