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    Kyklos

    Kyklos

    JournalISSN 0023-5962eISSN 1467-6435中科院 经济学 3区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(7272)

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    1Corruption Control and Economic Growth: A Meta‐Analysis with Regional Evidence
    Ichiro Iwasaki

    ABSTRACT Synthesizing 1052 estimates extracted from 116 studies, this paper examines whether corruption control impacts economic growth and whether the effect differs across regions. Using heterogeneity‐robust synthesis methods, we find evidence that corruption control promotes economic growth both globally and at the regional level. Although publication selection bias is present in the literature, bias‐corrected effect sizes remain positive and statistically significant, indicating a genuine growth‐enhancing effect. Meta‐regression analysis further reveals significant regional heterogeneity: The growth effect of corruption control is significantly stronger in Asia and Latin America than in Europe and the Middle East and Africa, even after controlling for study characteristics. Our findings support the “sand the wheels” hypothesis and imply that corruption reflects institutional failure rather than a functional informal institution.

    2026
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    2The Development Costs of Revolution: Evidence from Violent and Nonviolent Transitions
    Shishir Shakya, Joshua D. Ammons, Towhid Iqram Mahmood

    ABSTRACT Using data from the Varieties of Democracy (V‐Dem) project and the NAVCO catalog (1950–2019), we estimate the developmental effects of successful revolutions through difference‐in‐differences models and event studies. Our findings differ from common expectations: neither violent nor nonviolent revolutions consistently deliver expected development benefits. Educational indicators remain largely unchanged across both types of revolutions, and both violent and nonviolent movements are associated with lower GDP per capita. Baseline effects on life expectancy are not distinguishable from zero, though some dynamic specifications suggest positive effects for nonviolent revolutions. Our results show that while revolutions may secure political and social gains, the economic costs are large, which raises questions about whether the benefits of revolution justify these development costs.

    2026
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    3Political Connections, Subsidized Loans, and Capital Markets Development
    Eduardo Kazuo Kayo

    This paper analyzes the relationship between political connections and firms' financing decisions in Brazil using large datasets on campaign contributions, loans from the Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econ & ocirc;mico e Social (BNDES), and financial variables from Capital IQ. First, the results confirm those of previous studies showing that politically connected firms gain preferential access to finance. The present paper extends these studies by demonstrating that this access is even stronger when firms contribute to more than one party (hedging hypothesis) and are frequent contributors. Second, the present paper provides novel evidence by showing that politically connected firms issue less net equity and net debt (excluding subsidized loans from the Brazilian Development Bank, BNDES) than similar nonconnected firms, suggesting that the former firms avoid raising external resources from capital markets.

    2026
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    4Environmental Concerns and the Perceived Effectiveness of Fines and Incentives in Municipal Waste Management
    Giuseppe di Liddo, Damiano Fiorillo,Andrea Morone, Edoardo Rossetti

    Survey responses to environmental policy instruments may capture perceived behavioral effectiveness rather than abstract normative approval. This paper examines how environmental concern and information channels are associated with the selection of fines and incentives as measures that could encourage more frequent separate waste collection. Using repeated cross-sectional data from the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) Aspects of Daily Life survey for 2017-2022, we distinguish between global/collective-oriented concern and local/proximate concern and between one-way media information and interpersonal information. The two outcomes are nonexclusive selections within a multiple-response survey battery. We estimate a bivariate probit model for the two binary outcomes and complement it with a multinomial specification that exploits the multiple-response structure of the survey item. The results show that both global/collective-oriented concern and local/proximate concern are positively associated with the endorsement of the two instruments, but global/collective-oriented concern is consistently the stronger correlate. These outcomes concern perceived effectiveness within the survey context and should not be interpreted as direct measures of political approval or policy legitimacy.

    2026
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    5Inequality and Gambling in Italian Municipalities
    Giovanni Ferri,Raffaele Lagravinese,Giuliano Resce

    This study investigates the relationship between urban inequality and gambling on a distinct dataset that encompasses administrative records of gambling turnover by game type in Italian municipalities. We find a substantive impact of urban inequality on gambling turnover, using ordinary least squares estimates that control directly for poverty; we interpret the relationship causally under a selection-on-observables argument bounded by an Oster (2019) coefficient-stability test and corroborate its sign and relevance, though not its magnitude, with a shift-share instrumental-variable strategy. Moreover, we show that the impact of inequality is additional and larger than that of poverty. Finally, inequality promotes gambling particularly in less well-off Southern municipalities, especially concerning turnover generated from games closely associated with gambling-related issues. Given the documented regressive nature of gambling taxation, our results are consistent with a self-reinforcing dynamic between urban inequality and gambling, whereby rising inequality stimulates gambling demand among disadvantaged households whose gambling expenditures, taxed regressively, may in turn widen the income distribution further-a mechanism we flag as an important avenue for future research.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Arthur T. Denzau43133
    Douglas C. North42901
    Janos Kornai21554
    Lars P. Feld169017
    Todd Sandler156713
    Robert D. Tollison122013
    James Alm11275
    Avik Chakrabarti10921
    Bruno S. Frey100376
    John H. Adler9892

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Hans G. Nutzinger4251
    Amitrajeet A. Batabyal31150
    W LACHMANN036
    Jc Dodds133
    Peter Bernholz91933
    Rl Frey2931
    Ivo Maes61030
    G Blumle1029
    U HEILEMANN028
    C POLYCHRONIOU025

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