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    Reliability Engineering and System Safety

    Reliability Engineering and System Safety

    JournalISSN 0951-8320eISSN 1879-0836中科院 工程技术 1区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(16163)

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    1NewA Regional Failure Probability Analysis Framework Integrating GIS and Surrogate Models for Floating Offshore Wind Turbines
    Ziqi He, Junling Hong,Wanhai Xu
    2027
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    2NewDramatic Effect of the Neglect of a Seemingly Small Effect on Reliability: A Study of Nonlocal Beam Deflection
    Madhav Kandel, Isaac Elishakoff
    2027
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    3NewApplying Strength of Knowledge Schemes in Practice: Insights from Risk Professionals
    Eivind Lorentzen-Styr, Kjartan Bjørnsen,Terje Aven

    Strength of knowledge (SoK) judgments are a key component in characterising risks from an uncertainty-based risk perspective. A commonly applied assessment scheme for this purpose involves evaluating the SoK based on several criteria: the reasonableness of assumptions, the availability and reliability of data, the degree to which phenomena are understood, the level of expert agreement, and the extent to which the knowledge has been scrutinised. The applicability of this scheme has been widely discussed and debated in the risk research literature. However, less attention has been given to its actual use and to risk practitioners' evaluations. In Norway, many practitioners regularly apply the SoK scheme to address real-world risk problems, as various public and private sectors have incorporated it into their risk assessment standards and guidance documents. In this paper, we examine how 22 risk practitioners use the SoK scheme and assess its utility. The study aims to provide insights into the challenges and benefits of applying the SoK scheme in practical contexts, thereby enhancing its applicability for practitioners and informing its ongoing development within the research community. Key findings relate to the scheme’s practical value in structuring uncertainty assessments and informing risk management, alongside identified needs for improved guidance to support consistent judgment and effective communication.

    2027
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    4NewA Unified Multimodal Large Language Model for Explainable Tool Wear State Assessment and Maintenance Decision Support
    Liang Yan, Haitong Luo, Shichang Du, Shuo Wang, Shanshan Li, Xianmin Chen

    Tool wear assessment is essential for machining quality, process stability, and maintenance decision making. Existing methods have improved wear classification and wear-value prediction, but many rely on single-modality inputs, shallow fusion, or black-box task-specific models, limiting their ability to explain diagnostic evidence and support practical inspection. To address these limitations, we propose an evidence-guided and stage-aware multimodal large language model framework based on Qwen3-VL-8B. The framework integrates tool images, sensor-derived representations, process context, and structured base-model evidence to jointly diagnose wear type, estimate wear value, and generate engineer-readable reports. These reports provide confidence estimates, evidence interpretation, risk assessment, inspection focus, and maintenance suggestions, thereby transforming multimodal wear prediction into explainable engineering decision support. Experiments on the Multimodal Automatic Tool Wear Inspection dataset show that the proposed method achieves 93.12% accuracy, 77.09% macro-F1 score, 16.64μm mean absolute error, 25.52μm root mean square error, and a coefficient of determination of 0.689. Compared with single-modality, simple fusion, conventional multimodal fusion, and directly prompted MLLM baselines, the proposed method improves wear-type discrimination, maintains competitive regression performance, and generates structured, evidence-grounded reports for practical decision support.

    2027
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    5NewCost-resilience Trade-off Framework for the Assessment and Optimization of Supply Resilience in Natural Gas Pipeline Networks
    Junting Li, Yan Chen, Jinfeng Cao

    When affected by abrupt severe disruptions such as natural disasters and third-party construction damage, natural gas pipeline networks may suffer serious supply loss and require costly recovery. Existing studies insufficiently integrate supply resilience assessment with economic constraints, making it difficult to identify cost-effective resilience enhancement strategies. This study proposes a cost-resilience trade-off framework for natural gas pipeline networks under stochastic severe disruptions. Demand-fulfillment variation is used to quantify supply resilience, while component disruptions, recovery rules, degraded operation, transmission capacity constraints, and gas supply allocation are integrated into Monte Carlo simulation. Reinforcement costs, recovery costs, and economic losses are further incorporated into a single-objective optimization model that minimizes total cost under a minimum resilience requirement. The case study identifies case-specific turning values within marginal-benefit saturation ranges, namely a reinforcement level of approximately 80% and a recovery rate of approximately 2.664 day-1, beyond which additional reinforcement or recovery acceleration yields diminishing marginal benefits. Scenario-based optimization analyses show that optimal strategies vary with risk, demand, defect, and cost conditions, but the framework consistently reallocates resources between preventive reinforcement and post-disruption recovery to satisfy resilience requirements at minimum cost. The framework supports adaptive resilience investment, critical component protection, and recovery-resource configuration.

    2027
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Enrico Zio15775272
    Jon C. Helton901043
    David W. Coit735741
    Terje Aven7348119
    Gregory Levitin6330192
    Pollo Marquez501942
    Abdullah Konak48383
    Alice E. Smith47681
    Rho Ji Young47302
    Faisal Khan458957

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Enrico Zio15775272
    Gregory Levitin6330192
    Liudong Xing3934142
    Terje Aven7348119
    Yuanshun Dai185676
    Hongyan Dui231474
    Carlos Guedes Soares355168
    Rui Peng211158
    Maxim Finkelstein192757
    Faisal Khan458957

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