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    Statistics and Risk Modeling

    Statistics and Risk Modeling

    JournalISSN 2193-1402eISSN 2196-7040中科院 数学 4区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(729)

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    1On the 𝕃 P -Solution for BSDELs with Continuous or Left Continuous Coefficient
    Mohamed El Jamali, Badr Elmansouri

    Abstract This paper investigates the 𝕃 p {\mathbb{L}^{p}} -solutions ( p ∈ ( 1 , 2 ) {p\in(1,2)} ) for backward stochastic differential equations driven by Teugels martingales associated with a Lévy process (BSDELs). While existence and uniqueness were established by El Jamali (2023) under Lipschitz conditions, the present work focuses on establishing a comparison theorem specifically tailored for the 𝕃 p {\mathbb{L}^{p}} framework. Building upon this fundamental result, we prove the existence of 𝕃 p {\mathbb{L}^{p}} -solutions for BSDELs under significantly weakened assumptions on the coefficient. Specifically, we consider cases where the generator is either continuous with linear growth, or satisfies a monotonicity condition-being increasing (resp. decreasing)-combined with left (resp. right) continuity. These results extend the theoretical reach of BSDEL theory to a broader class of stochastic processes and coefficients.

    2026
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    2Insurance Products with Guarantees in an Affine Setting
    Raquel M. Gaspar,Thorsten Schmidt

    Medium- and long-term insurance products must participate in equity market returns to remain competitive. To eliminate downside risk, guarantees should be included, which naturally gives rise to the problem of valuing contracts in a unified insurance-finance framework. We study a general setup that allows for joint modelling of financial markets, mortality, and policy holder behaviour. Within this framework, we propose a general affine approach exploiting the tractability of affine processes to obtain explicit valuation formulas for variable annuities and related contracts. The model permits flexible dependence between mortality and equity dynamics. Moreover, surrender intensities are modelled as functions of the driving affine process, thereby introducing endogenous market dependence into lapse behaviour - a feature rarely treated analytically in the literature. The resulting framework combines analytical tractability with sufficient flexibility to capture key features of long-term insurance products.

    2026
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    3On the Lp-solution for BSDELs with Continuous or Left Continuous Coefficient
    Mohamed El Jamali, Badr Elmansouri

    This paper investigates the L-p-solutions (p is an element of(1, 2)) for backward stochastic differential equations driven by Teugels martingales associated with a L & eacute;vy process (BSDELs). While existence and uniqueness were established by El Jamali (2023) under Lipschitz conditions, the present work focuses on establishing a comparison theorem specifically tailored for the L-p framework. Building upon this fundamental result, we prove the existence of L-p-solutions for BSDELs under significantly weakened assumptions on the coefficient. Specifically, we consider cases where the generator is either continuous with linear growth, or satisfies a monotonicity condition-being increasing (resp. decreasing)-combined with left (resp. right) continuity. These results extend the theoretical reach of BSDEL theory to a broader class of stochastic processes and coefficients.

    2026
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    4Extreme Risk Modeling Based on Tail Extended Gini and Joint Tail Extended Gini
    Lhoucine Ben Hssain,Ghizlane Lakhnati, Mohammed Berkhouch

    The concept of tail variability in statistical analysis plays a central role in various fields, including economics, finance, and public policy. In this context, this paper aims to explore the asymptotic properties of Tail Extended Gini-type measures for a bivariate random vector ( X , Y ) {(X,Y)} , where X represents the examined loss variable and Y serves as a benchmark variable. Within this framework, we introduce a new measure of variability called the Joint Tail Extended Gini, which considers the tail characteristics of both X and Y. Specifically, we examine the asymptotic properties of the proposed measure, taking into consideration the degree of risk aversion of investors. Additionally, we generalize the Joint Tail-Gini functional in order to provide a more flexible risk measure. Subsequently, we present examples and demonstrate a practical application of our results. These findings have significant implications for understanding the extreme behaviors of investors and can be applied in various fields, including decision-making, to measure and analyze tail risk.

    2026
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    5On Formal Properties of Minimum Capital Requirements under Solvency II
    Rudiger Kiesel, Ralf Korn, Frank Seifried, Gerhard Stahl

    Real issues with the application of Minimum Capital Requirements (MCR) on the organisational level of an insurance holding has been the starting point of this paper. In contrast to the Solvency Capital Required (SCR), which is the day-to-day risk measure for insurers, the MCR comes into play in adverse circumstances. After the presentation of the concept of MCR, its formal properties are given. Applications highlight some of its shortcomings. Then a mathematical framework based on concepts of Aubin's viability theory sketches a unifying framework for both the SCR and MCR. Finally, a control theoretic framework is illustrated in a Cramer-Lundberg setting.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    ruschendorf ludger7411
    Aad Van Der Vaart4273
    Sandrine Dudoit3992
    Ludger Rueschendorf29811
    J. Pfanzagl2731
    Georg Mainik2322
    Eric Schaanning2171
    Mark van der Laan2131
    László Györfi2065
    Hans Follmer1962

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Ludger Rueschendorf29811
    helmut strasser1538
    Wolfgang Schmid1827
    Marie Huskova1537
    Emad-Eldin Aly826
    Nitis Mukhopadhyay986
    B. L. S. Prakasa Rao166
    Dipak Dey1456
    Nicole Bäuerle606
    Andrew L. Rukhin626

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