In this article, we join three distinct literatures on crime control—the deterrence literature, the policing literature as it relates to crime control, and the environmental and opportunity perspectives literature. Based on empirical findings and theory from these literatures, we pose a mathematical model of the distribution of criminal opportunities and offender decision making on which of those opportunities to victimize. Criminal opportunities are characterized in terms of the risk of apprehension that attends their victimization. In developing this model, our primary focus is on how police might affect the distribution of criminal opportunities that are attractive to would‐be offenders. The theoretical model we pose, however, is generalizable to explain how changes in other relevant target characteristics, such as potential gain, could affect target attractiveness. We demonstrate that the model has important implications for the efficiency and effectiveness of police deployment strategies such as hot spots policing, random patrol, and problem‐oriented policing. The theoretical structure also makes clear why the clearance rate is a fundamentally flawed metric of police performance. Future research directions suggested by the theoretical model are discussed.
Tum teori, tamamen dogru olmayan varsayimlara baglidir. Teoriyi olusturan da budur. Basarili bir kuramsallastirma sanatinin amaci, en son sonuclarin fazla hassas olmamasi gibi beklenen bir sadelestirilmis varsayimlar yapmaktir. “Kritik” varsayim, hassasiyetle bagli sonuclarin yaptiklarindan birisi ve kritik varsayimlarin makul surette uygun olmasi acisindan onem tasimaktadir. Ozellikle teorik sonuclar, belirli bir kritik varsayimindan gelen akis gibi gorunmektedir. Oyleyse varsayimlar kesin degilse, sonuclar sakincalidir. Harrod-Domar ekonomik buyume modelinin dogru olmasi gibi bir seyi savunmak isterdim. Harrod-Domar dusunce biriminin karakteristik ve etkili sonucu, uzun donem bile olsa ekonomik sistem, bicak sirti denge noktasinda en iyi sekilde dengelidir. Tasarruf orani, sermaye hâsila orani, isgucu artis orani onemli parametrelerin buyuklukleriydi. Sabit noktadan cok duzgun bir sekilde kaymasi icin, neticede, ya buyuyen issizlik ya da uzamis enflasyon olurdu. Harrod terimlerinde, kritik denge meselesi, teknolojik degisim eksikligindeki isgucu artisina bagli, tabii buyume orani ve ev ve firmalarin tasarruf-yatirim aliskanliklarina bagli gerekli buyume orani arasindaki rekabetten ibarettir.
How is work divided up in the household, within an industry, a nation or between continents? What are the dynamics of the division of labour? The wide-ranging contributions to this book explore these questions from technological, capital and political perspectives. They include in-depth studies of gender, the firm, countries’ economic specializations, ICTs, foreign direct investment and agriculture. In this book, ten distinguished contributors – economists, scholars and practitioners – take stock of the shape of the division of labour and provide useful policy recommendations.
This essay offers an unsystematic sketch of seval ways in which economists have approached the need to represent and model changes in technology. It begins with the failures of Ricardo and Mill to respond adequately to the continueing increase of productivity after the Industrial Revolution, and ascribes it to the lack of appropriate analytical technique. It goes on to the question of classification of inventions posed by Hicks, with responses from other authors. It concludes with comments on the current intereste in endogenizing technical profress as a routine profit-seeking activity, with the thought that an uneasy compormise between exogeneous and endogeneous may be the best that can be done.
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Paul Samuelson was one of the few men who earned himself a significant place in economics. He was in himself a starting point. We are fortunate to have Robert Solow, his colleague and long-time friend, discuss how Samuelson changed economics. Samuelson was a member of Challenge's Editorial Advisory Board since 1973.