Predictability and predictiveness in health care spending

Journal of Health Economics, no. 1 (2007): 25-48

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This paper re-examines the relation between the predictability of health care spending and incentives due to adverse selection. Within an explicit model of health plan decisions about service levels, we show that predictability (how well spending on certain services can be anticipated), predictiveness (how well the predicted levels of cer...更多

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