Development and evaluation of a data-adaptive alerting algorithm for univariate temporal biosurveillance data

Statistics in medicine, Volume 28, Issue 26, 2009, Pages 3226-3248.

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Keywords:
time seriesexponential smoothingforecastingregression model

Abstract:

This paper discusses further advances in making robust predictions with the Holt-Winters forecasts for a variety of syndromic time series behaviors and introduces a control-chart detection approach based on these forecasts. Using three collections of time series data, we compare biosurveillance alerting methods with quantified measures of...More

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