The Victorian population projection framework.

Journal of the Australian Population Association(1992)

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摘要
"The Victorian Department of the Treasury has responsibility for preparation of demographic forecasts for use by state government departments and agencies. This paper provides a detailed description of the projection system and models developed by Treasury to produce population and household forecasts for the state, statistical divisions and Statistical Local Areas of Victoria [Australia]. Particular emphasis is given to use of a 'tops down' approach to integrate projections at different geographic levels, methods of reconciling forecasts of household growth with land supply and techniques used to project the inter-SLA migration flows in a multi-regional cohort-component framework."
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关键词
theoretical,environment,oceania,evaluation,migration,evaluation report,population forecast,population,natural resources,family and household,data collection,geographic factors,australia,estimation technics,population dynamics,households,internal,models,developed countries,cohort analysis,demographic factors,research methodology,land supply
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