Solarclique: Detecting Anomalies In Residential Solar Arrays

The proliferation of solar deployments has significantly increased over the years. Analyzing these deployments can lead to the timely detection of anomalies in power generation, which can maximize the benefits from solar energy. In this paper, we propose Solar-Clique, a data-driven approach that can flag anomalies in power generation with high accuracy. Unlike prior approaches, our work neither depends on expensive instrumentation nor does it require external inputs such as weather data. Rather our approach exploits correlations in solar power generation from geographically nearby sites to predict the expected output of a site and flag anomalies. We evaluate our approach on 88 solar installations located in Austin, Texas. We show that our algorithm can even work with data from few geographically nearby sites (>5 sites) to produce results with high accuracy. Thus, our approach can scale to sparsely populated regions, where there are few solar installations. Further, among the 88 installations, our approach reported 76 sites with anomalies in power generation. Moreover, our approach is robust enough to distinguish between reduction in power output due to anomalies and other factors such as cloudy conditions.