Impact of non-cardiovascular disease burden on thirty-day hospital readmission in heart failure patients.

CARDIOLOGY JOURNAL(2018)

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摘要
Background: Little is known about the impact of non-cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden an 30-day readmission in heart failure (HF) patients. The aim of the study was to assess the role of non-CVD burden on 30-day readmission in HF patients. Methods: We analyzed the effect of non-CVD burden by frequency of ICD-9 code categories on readmissions of patients discharged with a primary diagnosis of HE We first modeled the probability of readmission within 30 days as a function of demographic and clinical covariates in a randomly selected training dataset of the total cohort. Variable selection was carried out using a bootstrap LASSO procedure with 1000 bootstrap samples, the final model was tested an a validation dataset. Adjusted odds ratios and confidence intervals were reported in the validation dataset. Results: There were a total of 6228 HF hospitalizations, 1523(24%) with readmission within 30 days of discharge. The strongest predictor far 30-day readmissions was any hospital admission in the prior year (p < 0.001). Cardiovascular risk factors did not enter the final model. However digestive system diseases increased the risk for readmission by 17% for each diagnosis (p = 0.046), while respiratory diseases and genitourinary diseases showed a trend toward a higher risk of readmission (p = 0.07 and p = 0.09, respectively). Non-CVDs out-competed cardiovascular covariates previously reported to predict readmission. Conclusions: In patients with HF hospitalization, prior admissions predicted 30-day readmission. Diseases of the digestive system also increase 30-day readmission rates. Assessment of non-CVD burden in HF patients could serve as an important risk marker for 30-day readmissions.
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关键词
heart failure readmission,non-cardiovascular disease burden,predictive model
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