How is driving volatility related to intersection safety? A Bayesian heterogeneity-based analysis of instrumented vehicles data

Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies(2018)

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摘要
•New concept of intersection-specific driving volatility for proactive safety management.•Rigorous data analytics methodology to analyze driving data from real-world connected vehicles test-bed.•Presents full Bayesian estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based Gibbs sampling.•Vehicular speed, acceleration/deceleration, and vehicular jerk-based volatility measures are proposed.•Integrates connected vehicles, safety and traffic data to identify locations where crashes are waiting to happen.
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关键词
Connected vehicles,Driving volatility,Intersection crashes,Proactive safety,Full Bayes estimation,Markov Chain Monte Carlo,Gibbs sampler,Heterogeneity,Random parameters,Poisson/Poisson log-normal regressions
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