Asking about social circles improves election predictions
Nature Human Behaviour, pp. 187-193, 2018.
Election outcomes can be difficult to predict. A recent example is the 2016 US presidential election, in which Hillary Clinton lost five states that had been predicted to go for her, and with them the White House. Most election polls ask people about their own voting intentions: whether they will vote and, if so, for which candidate. We s...More
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