A research of Monte Carlo optimized neural network for electricity load forecast

The Journal of Supercomputing(2019)

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摘要
In this paper, we apply the Monte Carlo neural network (MCNN), a type of neural network optimized by Monte Carlo algorithm, to electricity load forecast. Meanwhile, deep MCNNs with one, two and three hidden layers are designed. Results have demonstrated that three-layer MCNN improves 70.35% accuracy for 7-week electricity load forecast, compared with traditional neural network. And five-layer MCNN improves 17.24% accuracy for 7-week forecast. This proves that MCNN has great potential in electricity load forecast.
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关键词
Monte Carlo,Neural network,Electricity load forecast,Deep MCNNs
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