Invasive species-driven trophic cascades: Are cane toads indirectly contributing to small mammal collapses across tropical Australia?

Apex predators are fundamentally important in regulating many ecosystems, and perturbations of their populations are frequently implicated in ecosystem declines or collapses. In considering small mammal declines in northern Australia, most attention has focused on interactions between a mammalian apex predator—the dingo Canis dingo—and a meso-predator, the feral cat—Felis catus. Little consideration has been given to the possible implications of changed reptilian predator assemblages resulting from invasion by a toxic anuran invader, the cane toad (Rhinella marina), on small mammals. We used reptile removal records from licenced reptile catchers in three widely spaced towns in the savannas of northern Australia to explore potential impacts of toads on apex and meso-predatory snakes and large lizards. In addition, simultaneous fauna survey data from one town with reptile removal records, coinciding with toad invasion, were used to identify cascading impacts through the savanna ecosystem. Intervention analyses revealed empirical linkages between toad invasion, apex predator declines, meso-predator increases and declines of small mammals and other prey groups. Based on the timing and strength of intervention we postulate a novel conceptual model linking recent mammal declines with trophic cascades following toad invasion, where the loss of large, anurophagous (toad-eating) reptilian apex predators allowed increases in mammal-eating meso-predatory snakes. The conceptual model is discussed in relation to prevailing hypotheses regarding northern Australia’s dramatic small mammal declines. Future studies will need to quantify these putative interactions and test their comparative importance so that appropriate management can be implemented to stem the ongoing losses of mammal fauna.