Probabilistic Robust Multi-Agent Path Finding.

In a multi-agent path-finding (MAPF) problem, the task is to find a plan for moving a set of agents from their initial locations to their goals without collisions. Following this plan, however, may not be possible due to unexpected events that delay some of the agents. Guaranteeing that collisions will never occur may be impossible. An important task is to find a plan that is very likely to succeed, even though unexpected delays may occur. We propose an algorithm for finding a plan in which the probability that no collisions will occur is at least a given parameter p (p-robust plan). We show that finding an optimal p-robust plan is significantly more difficult than finding an optimal standard plan. As a practical solution, we propose a greedy algorithm based on the Conflict-Based Search framework. Our experiments show that it finds p-robust plans with cost that is relatively close to the optimal cost of the standard, non-robust plans.