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Descriptive Epidemiology of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Nigeria, 27 February-6 June 2020.

K. O. Elimian,C. L. Ochu,E. Ilori,J. Oladejo,E. Igumbor, L. Steinhardt, J. Wagai, C. Arinze,W. Ukponu, C. Obiekea,O. Aderinola,E. Crawford,A. Olayinka,C. Dan-Nwafor, T. Okwor, Y. Disu, A. Yinka-Ogunleye, N. E. Kanu, O. A. Olawepo, O. Aruna, C. A. Michael, L. Dunkwu,O. Ipadeola, D. Naidoo,C. D. Umeokonkwo,A. Matthias, O. Okunromade, S. Badaru, A. Jinadu, O. Ogunbode,A. Egwuenu, A. Jafiya, M. Dalhat,F. Saleh, G. B. Ebhodaghe, A. Ahumibe, R. U. Yashe,R. Atteh, W. E. Nwachukwu,C. Ezeokafor, D. Olaleye,Z. Habib, I Abdus-Salam, E. Pembi,D. John, U. J. Okhuarobo, H. Assad, Y. Gandi,B. Muhammad, C. Nwagwogu, I Nwadiuto, K. Sulaiman, I. Iwuji, A. Okeji, S. Thliza, S. Fagbemi, R. Usman, A. A. Mohammed, O. Adeola-Musa, M. Ishaka, U. Aketemo, K. Kamaldeen, C. E. Obagha, A. O. Akinyode,P. Nguku, N. Mba,C. Ihekweazu

Epidemiology and infection(2020)

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摘要
The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria with a view of generating evidence to enhance planning and response strategies. A national surveillance dataset between 27 February and 6 June 2020 was retrospectively analysed, with confirmatory testing for COVID-19 done by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The primary outcomes were cumulative incidence (CI) and case fatality (CF). A total of 40 926 persons (67% of total 60 839) had complete records of RT-PCR test across 35 states and the Federal Capital Territory, 12 289 (30.0%) of whom were confirmed COVID-19 cases. Of those confirmed cases, 3467 (28.2%) had complete records of clinical outcome (alive or dead), 342 (9.9%) of which died. The overall CI and CF were 5.6 per 100 000 population and 2.8%, respectively. The highest proportion of COVID-19 cases and deaths were recorded in persons aged 31-40 years (25.5%) and 61-70 years (26.6%), respectively; and males accounted for a higher proportion of confirmed cases (65.8%) and deaths (79.0%). Sixty-six per cent of confirmed COVID-19 cases were asymptomatic at diagnosis. In conclusion, this paper has provided an insight into the early epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria, which could be useful for contextualising public health planning.
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关键词
Asymptomatic,case fatality,COVID-19,cumulative incidence,epidemiology,Nigeria
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