Effects Of Cocooning On Coronavirus Disease Rates After Relaxing Social Distancing

EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES(2020)

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摘要
As coronavirus disease spreads throughout the United States, policymakers are contemplating reinstatement and relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. By using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we found that postponing relaxation will only delay future disease waves. Cocooning vulnerable populations can prevent overwhelming medical surges.
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COVID-19,SARS,SARS-CoV-2,coronavirus,coronavirus disease,epidemiology,hospital bed capacity,mathematical model,pandemics,respiratory infections,severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2,viruses,zoonoses
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