Shear-wave velocity for colorectal cancer liver metastases as a potential prognostic factor after chemotherapy: a preliminary study

AIM To evaluate whether shear-wave velocity (SWV) can be used for predicting the prognoses of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLMs) after chemotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS Our institutional review board approved this prospective study, and written informed consent was obtained. SWV of CRLMs were obtained using point shear-wave elastography using acoustic radiation force impulse from 25 patients prior to and 2, 7, and 14 days after chemotherapy. Progression-free survival (PFS) after chemotherapy was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to determine significant predictive factors for PFS. For measurement reproducibility, an additional 37 patients with CRLMs were enrolled and assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). RESULTS After chemotherapy, 10 and 15 patients were classified into responder and non-responder groups, respectively. The estimated 1- and 3-year PFS values in the whole cohort were 36% and 8%, respectively. A decrease in the SWV value on day 2 relative to the initial value was a significant predictive factor for better PFS outcome (hazard ratio = 0.20, 95% confidence interval = 0.07–0.57, p=0.003). The estimated 1 and 3-year PFS rates were 66.7% and 22.2%, respectively, in nine patients with decreased SWV values on day 2 and significantly higher than 18.8% and 0% of 16 patients with increased SWV values on day 2. The ICC value of SWV of CRLMs in the additional 37 patients was 0.823 (95% CI = 0.685–0.905), indicating good agreement. CONCLUSION SWV values of CRLMs could provide prognostic information in patients with CRLMs treated with chemotherapy, as decreased SWV values on day 2 after chemotherapy was a significant predictive factor for better PFS.