A Retrospective Study Investigating The Association Of Parity, Breed, Calving Month And Year, And Previous Parity Milk Yield And Calving Interval With Twin Births In Us Dairy Cows

Twinning costs the dairy industry an estimated $96 million each year. Twin pregnancy occurrence in high-producing dairy cows is primarily a result of multiple ovulations associated with low circulating concentrations of progesterone due to high milk production. The present retrospective observational study aimed to identify associations between (1) previous parity milk yield and subsequent twin birth prevalence, (2) twin birth with same parity milk production and calving interval (CInt), and (3) twin birth and the subsequent twin calving. The final data set included almost 2.9 million US dairy calving and production records between 2001 and 2020. Variables considered were parity, breed, milk production, CInt, calving month, and year. Logistic and linear regression modeling were used to assess the effects of predictors on outcomes. Herd within state was used as a random effect for all regression models. Twin birth probability increased for cows with increased previous parity milk yield independent of breed or parity. Third and greater parity (3+) compared with second parity (2) and all breeds compared with Jerseys were associated with greater twin probability. Calving between April and September that corresponded to conceiving in July through December was associated with greater twin birth probability. Twin births were associated with decreased milk production following the birth event in Holsteins and parity 2 cows and in the calving months between June and September. Surprisingly, twin births in parity 3+ cows were associated with an increased 305-d milk yield. Cows that had a twin birth were more likely to calve twins in the subsequent parity and had a greater risk of having a CInt between 413 and 600 d. The hazard to subsequent calving after single births was greater compared with twin births. These data can be instrumental in guiding research focus on reducing twinning in lactating dairy cows.