Minimization of Age of Incorrect Estimates of Autoregressive Markov Processes

We consider a source that sends freshness-sensitive status updates about an auto-regressive Markov process to a monitor, in a time-slotted system. The source samples the random process at the start of every slot and decides whether to transmit the sample or not. The transmission of a sample incurs a fixed cost. When a monitor receives a sample, its information about the source is perfect. However,...