Evaluating the Jaccard Similarity Index as a Persistence Measure of Multiple Anal Human Papillomavirus Among Nigerian Men Who Have Sex With Men

Background Multiple anal human papillomavirus (HPVs) may increase the risk of anal cancer among men who have sex with men (MSM) living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The Jaccard Similarity Index (JSI) was explored as a measure of multiple HPV persistence. Methods The TRUST/RV368 cohort enrolled MSM living with and without HIV in Abuja and Lagos, Nigeria. Participants with anal swabs at baseline, 3- and 12-month visits were tested for high- and low-risk HPVs using a next-generation sequencing assay. Persistence of the same HPV genotypes over time was calculated using the JSI and categorized into high, medium, and low similarity tertiles. Factors associated with higher versus lower similarity were estimated with multivariable ordinal logistic regression and reported as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results Of the 225 participants, median age was 25 years (interquartile range, 22-29 years), 62% were living with HIV, median HPVs was 3 (interquartile range, 2-5), and HPV6 (28%), HPV16 (26%), HPV11 (23%), and HPV45 (20%) were most prevalent. Fifty-three percent of participants had highly similar HPVs at 3 months, and the similarity was associated with HIV (aOR, 3.11; 95% CI, 1.6-5.9) and recent receptive sex (aOR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.0-3.5). By 12 months, 20% had highly similar HPVs, and it was associated with 12 years or longer since anal coital debut (aOR, 6.8; 95% CI, 3.1-5.2), self-reported genital warts (aOR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.5-6.6), and 200 or less CD4 cells/mm(3) (aOR, 13.3; 95% CI, 2.7-65.2) for those living with HIV. Conclusions Studies evaluating the JSI as a predictor of high-grade intraepithelial lesions would further confirm its applicability as a quantitative measure of multiple HPV persistence.