Biomarkers to identify Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among borderline QuantiFERON results

Background Screening for tuberculosis (TB) infection often includes QuantiFERON-TB Gold Plus (QFT) testing. Previous studies showed that two-thirds of patients with negative QFT results just below the cutoff, so-called borderline test results, nevertheless had other evidence of TB infection. This study aimed to identify a biomarker profile by which borderline QFT results due to TB infection can be distinguished from random test variation. Methods QFT supernatants of patients with a borderline (>= 0.15 and <0.35 IU.mL(-1)), low-negative (<0.15 IU.mL(-1)) or positive (>= 0.35 IU.mL(-1)) QFT result were collected in three hospitals. Bead-based multiplex assays were used to analyse 48 different cytokines, chemokines and growth factors. A prediction model was derived using LASSO regression and applied further to discriminate QFT-positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis-infected patients from borderline QFT patients and QFT-negative patients Results QFT samples of 195 patients were collected and analysed. Global testing revealed that the levels of 10 kDa interferon (IFN)-gamma-induced protein (IP-10/CXCL10), monokine induced by IFN-gamma (MIG/CXCL9) and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist in the antigen-stimulated tubes were each significantly higher in patients with a positive QFT result compared with low-negative QFT individuals (p<0.001). A prediction model based on IP-10 and MIG proved highly accurate in discriminating patients with a positive QFT (TB infection) from uninfected individuals with a low-negative QFT (sensitivity 1.00 (95% CI 0.79-1.00) and specificity 0.95 (95% CI 0.74-1.00)). This same model predicted TB infection in 68% of 87 patients with a borderline QFT result. Conclusions This study was able to classify borderline QFT results as likely infection-related or random. These findings support additional laboratory testing for either IP-10 or MIG following a borderline QFT result for individuals at increased risk of reactivation TB.