Deliberation, Dissent, and Distrust: Understanding distinct drivers of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in the United States.

Background Despite the availability of safe and efficacious COVID-19 vaccines, a significant proportion of the American public remains unvaccinated and does not appear immediately interested in receiving the vaccine. Methods In this study, we analyzed data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Household Pulse Survey, a biweekly cross-sectional survey of U.S. households. We estimated the prevalence of vaccine hesitancy across states and nationally and assessed the predictors of vaccine hesitancy and vaccine rejection. Additionally, we examined the underlying reasons for vaccine hesitancy, grouped into thematic categories. Results A total of 459,235 participants were surveyed from January 6 to March 29, 2021. While vaccine uptake increased from 7.7 to 47 percent, vaccine hesitancy rates remained relatively fixed: overall, 10.2 percent reported that they would probably not get a vaccine, and 8.2 percent would definitely not get a vaccine. Income, education, and state political leaning strongly predicted vaccine hesitancy. However, while both female sex and Black race were factors predicting hesitancy, among those who were hesitant, these same characteristics predicted vaccine reluctance rather than rejection. Those who expressed reluctance invoked mostly deliberative reasons while those who rejected the vaccine were also likely to invoke reasons of dissent and distrust. Conclusion Vaccine hesitancy comprises a sizable proportion of the population and is large enough to threaten achieving herd immunity. Distinct subgroups of hesitancy have distinctive socio-demographic associations as well as cognitive and affective predilections. Segmented public health solutions are needed to target interventions and optimize vaccine uptake.