Abstract LB111: Comparison of the predictive and prognostic significance of circulating tumor DNA in patients with high risk HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Abstract Background: We compared the predictive and prognostic value of ctDNA dynamics in high-risk hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) enrolled in the I-SPY 2 trial (NCT01042379). To our knowledge, this is the largest ctDNA study in breast cancer in the neoadjuvant setting. Methods: Blood samples were collected at pre-treatment (T0), during treatment (T1 at 3 weeks, and T2 at 12 weeks) and after NAC (T3 at 24 weeks) from 106 HR+/HER2- and 97 TNBC patients. Plasma samples (n=734) were analyzed using a personalized and tumor-informed mPCR NGS-based ctDNA test (SignateraTM). Patients, all high risk for recurrence by MammaPrint, received paclitaxel-based treatment +/- experimental therapy followed by anthracycline. The median follow-up was 3.0 years (0.5 to 6.5). The predictive and prognostic value of ctDNA dynamics and status at different timepoints were examined. Our analysis is exploratory and does not adjust for other biomarkers. Results: Pretreatment ctDNA positivity (Fisher p<0.0001) and levels (mean tumor molecules/mL, MTM/mL, t test p=0.0062) were significantly higher in TNBC (90.7%, 14.7 MTM/mL) than in high risk HR+/HER2- (66.0%, 5.5 MTM/mL). Early and late ctDNA clearance during treatment (3 and 12 weeks of NAC) was predictive of pathologic complete response (pCR) and residual cancer burden (RCB), class 0-III, in TNBC but not HR+/HER2- (Table). In both subtypes: (1) ctDNA was a significant negative prognostic factor for distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) at all timepoints (p<0.05) except at pretreatment; (2) all patients who achieved pCR were ctDNA-negative after NAC; (3) among non-responding patients, ctDNA-negativity after NAC was associated with improved DRFS (Table). Conclusions: The predictive value of ctDNA for prediction of pCR and RCB differed between subtypes (HR+/HER2- vs. TNBC), while similar prognostic value was observed. In TNBC, early clearance of ctDNA at 3 weeks was a significant predictor of favorable response to NAC. Compared to patients who were ctDNA-positive after NAC, ctDNA-negative status in both subtypes was associated with improved DRFS even in patients with residual cancer (no pCR or RCB-II/III). These findings could inform on the design of future studies that seek to demonstrate the utility of ctDNA in the curative setting. Predictive and prognostic significance of ctDNA in early breast cancer in the neoadjuvant setting HR+HER2- (n=106) TNBC (n=97) Predictive value for prediction of pCR and RCB Fisher p-value Fisher p-value Early ctDNA clearance (between T0 and T1) and pCR 0.4521 <0.0001 Late ctDNA clearance (between T0 and T2) and pCR 0.8071 0.0004 Early ctDNA clearance (between T0 and T1) and RCB (0-III) 0.1360 <0.0001 Late ctDNA clearance (between T0 and T2) and RCB (0-III) 0.4869 0.0004 Early ctDNA clearance at T1 and pCR rates pCR rate pCR rate ctDNA clearance (ctDNA+ at T0/ctDNA- at T1) 21% 67% Late ctDNA clearance (betweeNo early clearance (ctDNA+ at T0/ctDNA+ at T1) 13% 14% Prognostic value for prediction of DRFS Log rank p-value Log rank p-value ctDNA at T3 and pCR vs no PCR 0.0002 <0.0001 ctDNA at T3 and RCB (0-I vs II-III) 0.0110 <0.0001 Timepoints: T0 - pretreatment; T1 - three weeks after treatment initiation; T2 - at 12 weeks, between paclitaxel-based and anthracycline regimens; T3- after neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to surgery Citation Format: Mark Jesus Mendoza Magbanua, Lamorna Brown Swigart, Derrick Renner, Svetlana Shchegrova, Gillian L. Hirst, Christina Yau, Denise M. Wolf, Hsin-Ta Wu, Ekaterina Kalashnikova, Amy L. Delson, A. Jo Chien, Debu Tripathy, Smita Asare, Raheleh Salari, Angel Rodriguez, Bernhard Zimmermann, Himanshu Sethi, Alexey Aleshin, Paul Billings, Rita Nanda, Hope S. Rugo, Laura J. Esserman, Minetta C. Liu, Angela DeMichele, Laura van 't Veer. Comparison of the predictive and prognostic significance of circulating tumor DNA in patients with high risk HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr LB111.