Clusters of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes stratify all-cause mortality in a cohort of participants undergoing invasive coronary diagnostics

Background Heterogeneous metabolic clusters have been identified in diabetic and prediabetic states. It is not known whether such pathophysiologic clusters impact survival in at-risk persons being evaluated for coronary heart disease. Methods The LURIC Study recruited patients referred for coronary angiography at a median age of 63 (IQR 56–70) with a follow-up of 16.1 (IQR 9.6, 17.7) years. Clustering of 1269 subjects without diabetes was performed with oGTT-derived glucose and insulin; fasting triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein, BMI, waist and hip circumference. Patients with T2D (n = 794) were clustered using age, BMI, glycemia, homeostasis model assessment, and islet autoantibodies. Associations of clusters with mortality were analysed using Cox regression. Results Individuals without diabetes were classified into six subphenotypes, with 884 assigned to subjects at low-risk (cluster 1,2,4) and 385 at high-risk (cluster 3,5,6) for diabetes. We found significantly increased mortality in clusters 3 (hazard ratio (HR)1.42), 5 (HR 1.43), and 6 (HR 1.46) after adjusting for age, BMI, HbA1c and sex. In the T2D group, 508 were assigned to mild age-related diabetes (MARD), 183 to severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), 84 to mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD), 19 to severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD). Compared to the low-risk non-diabetes group, crude mortality was not different in MOD. Increased mortality was found for MARD (HR 2.2), SIRD (HR 2.2), and SIDD (HR 2.5). Conclusions Metabolic clustering successfully stratifies survival even among persons undergoing invasive coronary diagnostics. Novel clustering approaches based on glucose metabolism can identify persons who require special attention as they are at risk of increased mortality.