Minimizing risk in the scheduling of crudes in an oil refinery

IFAC-PapersOnLine(2022)

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摘要
This paper focuses on formulating and solving the optimization of crude oil operations scheduling carried out in a system composed of a refinery and a marine terminal. The main challenge lies in coordinating the decisions made at both facilities and, at the same time, dealing with the uncertainties inherent in this activity. To tackle this problem, we present a continuous-time mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) formulation. Furthermore, uncertainty in the ship arrival times is considered through a two-stage stochastic programming approach. Finally, the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) risk measure is employed to weigh the risk of having high costs relative to the worst scenarios. In this way, the proposed model is capable of supporting the decision-making process under uncertainty in an integral way. Copyright (C) 2022 The Authors.
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关键词
Stochastic optimization,Continuous-time representation,Crude oil scheduling,Uncertain oil supply,Conditional Value-at-Risk
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