Is there an optimal window of time for transferring single frozen-thawed euploid blastocysts? A cohort study of 1170 embryo transfers

Abstract STUDY QUESTION Is there an optimal window of time when the transfer of single frozen-thawed euploid blastocysts is associated with a maximal live birth rate (LBR)? SUMMARY ANSWER Performing a single frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfer at 160 ± 4 h post-hCG trigger in modified-natural frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) cycles was independently associated with a higher LBR as compared to transfers outside this window; however, in natural FET cycles, LBRs were comparable across a wider range of time intervals. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY There is compelling evidence for maintaining embryo-endometrial synchrony to optimize clinical outcomes following FETs, which could potentially be achieved by matching the transfer time of an embryo post-ovulation to its developmental age post-oocyte retrieval. For modified-natural cycles, ovulation is widely accepted to occur ∼40 h following the hCG trigger, whilst ovulation following spontaneous LH surge onset is thought to vary from 24 to 56 h. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION This is a multicentered retrospective cohort study analyzing 1170 single frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfers following trophectoderm biopsy and preimplantation genetic testing (PGT) between May 2015 and February 2019. Limiting the analysis to single euploid embryo transfers allowed for a more accurate estimation of the endometrial synchrony factor by controlling for the developmental stage of the embryo (full blastocyst or more advanced) and its genetic composition. LBR per FET was the primary outcome measure. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS Patients underwent natural or gonadotrophin-induced preparation of the endometrium, with serial serum oestradiol, LH and progesterone measurements. Optimally timed transfers were predefined as those conducted 120 ± 4 h post-ovulation since biopsy and subsequent cryopreservation of full blastocysts which is usually performed at 116–124 h post-oocyte retrieval. This was considered the equivalent of 160 ± 4 h post-hCG trigger in modified-natural cycles (n = 253), as ovulation was assumed to occur ∼40 h after the hCG trigger. For natural cycles (n = 917), this was also considered to be, on average, 160 ± 4 h post the spontaneous LH surge. Thus, study groups were determined as those with optimal timing or not, and additional exploratory and subgroup analyses were performed, varying the time window in terms of onset and width, both overall and per endometrial preparation protocol. Statistical analysis was performed using the generalized estimating equations (GEE) framework to control for the clustered nature of the data while adjusting for potential confounders. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE Overall, LBRs were significantly higher when the transfer had been performed at 160 ± 4 h post-hCG trigger or LH surge onset compared to when it had been performed outside this window (44.7% vs 36.0%; P = 0.008). A multivariable regression GEE model including the cycle type (natural versus modified-natural), previtrification embryo quality (top versus good quality), embryo stage (fully hatched versus hatching or earlier blastocyst), vitrification day (D5 versus D6) and survival rate (>90% versus <90%) as covariates, confirmed that, overall, embryo transfers conducted 160 ± 4 h post-hCG trigger or LH surge onset (the assumed equivalent of 120 ± 4 h post-ovulation) were associated with a significantly higher LBR (relative risk (RR) 1.21, 95% CI 1.04–1.41). Subgroup exploratory analyses per endometrial preparation protocol demonstrated that these findings were primarily present in the modified-natural cycle group (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.15–1.99), whilst the natural cycle group showed comparable LBRs across a wider range of time intervals. Moreover, the overall LBR for the natural group (36.8%; 95% CI 33.7–39.9%) was lower than that of the modified-natural group (41.3%; 95% CI 35.4–47.1%), suggesting that there likely remains a greater potential to further optimize the timing of natural cycle embryo transfers. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION As with all retrospective studies, the presence of residual unknown bias cannot be excluded. Additionally, patients included in this study were a selected group who underwent PGT for specific reasons and hence the results obtained might not be directly applicable to the general population or embryos that have not undergone embryo biopsy. Furthermore, the criteria utilized to interpret hormonal data from natural cycles were specifically adopted for the present study and need to be validated in further studies. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS The results of this study highlight the significance of embryo-endometrial synchrony for the optimization of frozen embryo transfer outcome. However, it also clearly supports that the implantation window is in most cases wide and the achievement of live birth is possible with relatively high success rates even outside the optimal window of 160 ± 4 h post-trigger for modified-natural cycles and across a range of time intervals for natural cycles. Additionally, this study suggests that implantation rates could be further optimized in natural cycles by improving methods of assessing embryo-endometrial synchrony. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) C. V. is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Early Career Fellowship (GNT1147154). No other funding was received for this study and there are no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER N/A