Radiological predictive factors of transmural intestinal necrosis in acute mesenteric ischemia: systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective Transmural intestinal necrosis (TIN) is related to high mortality in patients with acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI). Radiological predictive factors of TIN in AMI remains controversial. This study aimed to identify the CT-based predictive factors of TIN in AMI. Methods EMBASE and PUBMED were searched for publications predicting TIN using radiological features. Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 was used to assess the methodological quality of individual studies. Data were presented in terms of diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), sensitivity, specificity, and 95% confidence interval (CI). The random-effects models were used for the meta-analysis. Results Eleven studies including 1037 cases with AMI were considered. The meta-analysis showed that bowel wall thinning (DOR = 13.10; 95% CI: 3.71, 46.25), decreased or absent bowel wall enhancement (DOR = 5.77; 95% CI: 2.95, 11.30), bowel dilation (DOR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.03, 5.15), pneumatosis intestinalis (DOR = 5.78; 95% CI: 2.24, 14.95), porto-mesenteric venous gas (DOR = 5.36; 95% CI: 2.14, 13.40), and arterial occlusive AMI (DOR = 2.66; 95% CI: 1.53, 4.63) were risk factors for predicting TIN. Bowel wall thinning and porto-mesenteric venous gas displayed high specificity to diagnose TIN (98%, 95%, respectively). The subgroup analysis showed that decreased or absent bowel wall enhancement (DOR = 8.23; 95% CI: 4.67, 14.51) and bowel dilation (DOR = 3.14; 95% CI: 1.55, 6.39) were predictors of TIN in venous occlusive AMI, which were not related to TIN in arterial-origin AMI. Conclusions For predicting TIN, there are specific radiological features. The radiological predictors of TIN may differ according to the various causes of AMI. Future primary studies should further evaluate the relationships between radiological signs and TIN based on different etiologies. Key Points • Bowel wall thinning, decreased or absent bowel wall enhancement, bowel dilation, pneumatosis intestinalis, porto-mesenteric venous gas, and arterial occlusive AMI were risk factors for predicting TIN. • Decreased or absent bowel wall enhancement and bowel dilation were predictors of TIN in venous occlusive AMI, which were not related to TIN in arterial-origin AMI.