Pulmonary perfusion defect volume on dual-energy CT: prognostic marker of adverse events in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism

To assess whether quantification of pulmonary perfusion defects on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) relates to adverse events beyond clinical parameters and traditional embolus detection in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). We included consecutive patients who underwent DECT to rule out acute PE in 2018–2020 and recorded incident adverse events, defined as a composite of short-term (< 30 days) in-hospital all-cause mortality or admission to intensive care unit. Relative perfusion defect volume (PDV) was measured on DECT and indexed by total lung volume. PDV was then related to adverse events using logistic regressions adjusting for clinical parameters, clinical PE pre-test probability (Wells score), and visual PE burden on pulmonary angiography (Qanadli score). Among 136 included patients (63 [46%] females; age: 70 ± 14 years), 19/136 (14%) experienced adverse events during a median hospitalization of 7.5 (4–14) days. Overall, 7/19 (37%) events occurred in those without visible emboli but with measurable perfusion defects. An increase of PDV by one standard deviation was associated with over two times higher odds of adverse events (OR = 2.24; 95%CI:1.37–3.65; p = 0.001). This association remained significant after adjusting for the Wells and Qanadli scores (OR = 2.34; 95%CI:1.20–4.60; p = 0.013). PDV significantly increased the combined discriminatory capacity of Wells and Qanadli scores (AUC 0.76 vs. 0.80; p = 0.011 for difference). DECT-derived PDV may represent a prognostic imaging marker with incremental value beyond clinical and traditional imaging findings, improving risk stratification and aiding clinical management in patients with suspected PE.