Correlates of protection for booster doses of the BNT162b2 vaccine

Abstract Variants of concern (VOC) of SARS-CoV2 and waning immunity pose a serious global problem. Overall, vaccination and prior infection provide significant protection, but some individuals remain susceptible to infection and severe disease. Rigorously identifying correlates of protection (COP) is necessary to identify these susceptible populations. We conducted a multicenter prospective study assessing the association between serological profiles and the risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection, comparing those vaccinated with three to four doses of Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccine. We identified several IgG and IgA binding markers that were COPs. The strongest COP was reduced IgG levels to RBD mutants and IgA levels to VOCs (three-dose-group HR=6.34, p=0.008; four-dose-group HR=8.14, p=0.018). Most importantly, we identified a subset of vaccinated individuals with low antibody levels that generated a significant boost in neutralizing antibody titers after a fourth dose, but were still at significantly increased susceptibility to infection.