Projecting the impacts of the bioeconomy on Nordic land use and freshwater quality and quantity – An overview

CATENA(2023)

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摘要
•Five contrasting scenarios describe a developing Nordic bio-economy towards 2050.•The scenarios led to substantial differences in land use cover and intensity.•This in turn affected hydrology and nutrient load in half of the catchments.•Patterns of final ecosystem service delivery were strongly affected.•The summed total economic value was similar among the two most disparate scenarios.•The sustainability scenario optimised water quality and biodiversity without welfare loss.
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关键词
Shared socio-economic pathways,Scenarios,Intensified exploitation,Boreal landscapes,Forestry,Agriculture,Recreation,Water resources management,Final ecosystem services,Mitigation measures
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