Radiographic predictors of occult intracranial involvement in olfactory neuroblastoma patients

Abstract Background Traditional management of olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB) includes margin‐negative resection with removal of cribriform plate, dura, and olfactory bulb, regardless of intracranial disease. This approach may be overtreating certain patients. Our investigation examines risk factors associated with occult intracranial disease to optimize therapeutic outcomes. Methods This retrospective, multi‐institutional cohort study examined clinical covariates associated with occult intracranial involvement. Patient demographics, staging, Hyam's grade, and pathologic involvement of dura, olfactory bulb/tract, and brain were collected. Diagnostic imaging was reviewed. Positive and negative predictive value (NPV) were estimated along with effect size estimates. Cox hazard regression examined associations with overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS). Results A total of 224 subjects with new diagnoses of ONB (2005–2021) were identified. Skull base bone involvement on computed tomography (CT) had the highest NPV for pathologic dura (88.0%), olfactory bulb (88%), and brain involvement (97.3%). Hyam's grade category was significantly associated with dural involvement ( φ C = 0.26; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.16, 0.42). Subjects without radiologic skull base involvement ( n = 66) had pathologic positivity of 12.1%. Within this subgroup, Hyam's grade was clinically significant for dural positivity ( φ = 0.34; 95% CI: −0.12, 0.71) with 28.6% involvement in high grade tumors. Neither clinical nor pathologic positivity of intracranial structures were associated with significantly different OS or DFS. Conclusions Both CT and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) had reasonably good NPV for involvement of dura and olfactory bulb. Higher Hyam's grade was associated with dural involvement. Patients with low‐grade tumors not involving the skull base may be suitable for avoiding skull base resection; however, further investigation is warranted.