[Tagravpa: Help table and grid for identifying the risk of aggravation and early rehospitalization of elderly persons 75 years and older referred to emergency departments and/or hospitalized in care units].

People aged 75 and over, frail or dependent are the most frequently hospitalized, particularly via the emergency department, and are sometimes readmitted to hospital less than a month after their discharge. Article 70 of the 2012 social security financing act has set up experiments aimed at improving the care pathway for the elderly. In this context, Marseille University Hospital has developed a table of help and grid for identifying the risk of aggravation of the elderly (Tagravpa). Comprising nine medical-psycho-social items, the grid enables the identification of the risk of aggravation to which is associated a score for identifying the risk of early re-hospitalization for the modeling of care pathways. A study was conducted in two departments. In cardiology for readmission at 1 month the results showed a grid positivity threshold of 6 for sensitivity measured at 56,6% (95% CI: 22,7-84,7) and specificity of 61,5% (95% CI: 40,7-79,1). In Emergency Department the results showed a positivity threshold of 4 for sensitivity at 83,3% (95% CI: 57,7-95,6) and specificity at 45,5% (95% CI: 36,8-54,3). This grid, called TAGRAVPA appears as a simple tool for identifying the risk of early re-hospitalization. It is applicable in a hospital environment, whatever the department and allows the initiation of an adapted path for the elderly person hospitalized or returning home from the emergency department.