Estimating the serial interval of Marburg virus human-to-human transmission from a case cluster seeded by a cross-border traveller

Zihao Guo,Shi Zhao,Shengzhi Sun,Kai Wang,Jinjun Ran,Daihai He,Yuchen Wei,Huwen Wang, Jie Sun,Ka Chun Chong,Eng Kiong Yeoh

JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE（2023）

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摘要

Using contact tracing data of a Marburg virus disease outbreak in United Republic of Tanzania seeded by a cross-border traveller, we estimated the serial interval of Marburg virus human-to-human transmission with mean of 11.3 days (95% credible interval [CrI]: 8.1, 15.4), and SD of 9.3 days (95% CrI: 6.1, 13.2).

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关键词

Haemorrhagic fever,Ebola,public health emergency of international concern,outbreak,international health regulations,reproduction number

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