Similar survival of birds between wet and seasonally dry Neotropical environments

Studies in the tropics suggest a regional similarity in survival rates of adult birds; however, this literature often overlooks species in semi-arid tropical environments. Bird survival in seasonally dry environments (e.g. seasonally dry tropical forests (SDTFa)) may be lower than that in more constantly wet areas (e.g. tropical rainforests (TRFs)), especially if the birds are negatively affected by seasonal rainfall or food-limitation. However, survival could be similar across these tropical environments, as the asymmetry between young and adult mortality tends to be high in all tropical areas, and the higher risk of mortality in young animals may favour adult survival (residual reproductive investment) regardless of the local climatic conditions. To fill this knowledge gap, we tested the hypothesis that bird survival is similar between seasonally dry (SDTF) and constantly wet (TRF) Neotropical environments. We estimated the apparent survival of 27 South American bird populations from three SDTF areas and 39 populations from a TRF. Apparent survival was estimated from Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) models fitted using a Bayesian structure and the resulting variation in survival rates between study areas and with body mass was explored using a Bayesian phylogenetic mixed model. Apparent annual survival of passerines did not differ between areas (geometrical mean of survival: SDTF = 0.50, 0.56, 0.64; TRF = 0.58), but body mass was positively associated with survival. The variation in bird survival was partially explained by phylogenetic relationships among species. Our results suggest that bird survival is regionally similar in Neotropical forests, despite the climatic variation. We discuss possible physiological and behavioural mechanisms adopted by birds in SDTFs to attenuate effects of environmental seasonality on survival.