Exposure to greenness during pregnancy and the first three years after birth and autism spectrum disorder: A matched case-control study in shanghai, China

Causes of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) have not been fully understood. Previous studies have linked environmental factors with ASD. However, evidence for the greenness-ASD association is limited, especially in China. To fill this gap, we conducted a matched case-control study to examine the association between greenness and ASD in China. Participants in this study were 84,934 children aged 3-12 years in Shanghai, China, selected using a multi-stage cluster sampling method. ASD cases were firstly screened by questionnaires completed by both children's parents and teachers, and were then confirmed by clinical examinations. Further, 10 healthy controls were randomly selected to match each ASD case by age and sex. The final analyses included 146 ASD cases and 1460 healthy controls. Participants' exposure to greenness before and after birth was assessed by normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) from NASA's Earth Observing System according to their residential locations. We used conditional logistic regression to examine the ASD-greenness association. Per interquartile range (IQR) increase in EVI500m and NDVI500m during the year before birth were associated with lower risks of ASD with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 0.96 (95%CI: 0.946, 0.975, IQR = 0.074) and 0.937 (95%CI: 0.915, 0.959, IQR = 0.101). Exposure to greenness during the first 3 years after birth was also significantly associated with lower risk of ASD [IQR ORs for EVI500m and NDVI500m were 0.935 (95%CI: 0.91, 0.962, IQR = 0.06) and 0.897 (95%CI: 0.861, 0.935, IQR = 0.09), respectively]. Air pollution showed mediation effects on thegreenness-ASD association. Greenness was observed to have stronger beneficial effects on children without historical diseases and term birth. More greenness exposure before and after birth were significantly associated with lower risks of ASD in children. Our results highlight the importance of greenness in urban planning.