Plasma Cartilage Acidic Protein 1 Measured by ELISA Is Associated With the Progression to Total Joint Replacement in Postmenopausal Women

Objective. To investigate the association of plasma cartilage acidic protein 1 (CRTAC1), a novel biochemical marker of osteoarthritis (OA), and total joint replacement (TJR) in postmenopausal women. Methods. The association of plasma CRTAC1 with the incidence of TJR was investigated in a prospective cohort including 478 postmenopausal women. A total of 38 women underwent a TJR for OA during a median follow-up of 18 years. Every one of the TJR cases were age- and BMI (kg/m2)-matched with 2 controls with no TJR from the same cohort. Plasma CRTAC1 was measured before TJR. The association between CRTAC1 and TJR incidence was investigated by conditional logistic regression. Results. Increased CRTAC1 was associated with a higher risk of TJR with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.80 (95% CI 1.11-2.92) for 1 SD increase, which remained significant after adjusting for Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index, knee OA baseline severity (Kellgren-Lawrence grade), hip OA, and hip bone mineral density. Urinary crosslinked C-telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II) was also associated with a higher risk of TJR with an adjusted OR of 1.83 (95% CI 1.11-3.00). When CRTAC1 and CTX-II were included in the same model, both markers were significantly associated with TJR with similar ORs. Conclusion. CRTAC1 is a new risk indicator of TJR for OA in postmenopausal women. Combined with knee and hip OA and CTX-II, it may help to identify subjects at risk for TJR.