The COVID-19 Pandemic from the Eye of the Virus
arXiv (Cornell University)(2021)
摘要
The all-pervasive lens that humans ordinarily use to watch and analyze the pandemic is time. This article considers an alternative. Instead of tracking incidence as a function of time, new cases are counted as a function of cumulative cases. This resource-centric perspective, which is more natural and physically justified, is the perspective of the virus. In this article, we demonstrate the relevance of this approach by characterizing an outbreak as an independent increments Gaussian process that fluctuates about a deterministic curve, called the incidence-cumulative cases (ICC) curve. We illustrate these concepts on Influenza A and COVID-19 outbreaks in the US. The novel perspective presented here reveals universal properties of disease spread that would otherwise remain hidden.
更多查看译文
关键词
virus,eye
AI 理解论文
溯源树
样例
生成溯源树,研究论文发展脉络
Chat Paper
正在生成论文摘要