The real-world incidence and predictors of sac regression in patients with infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm after standard EVAR

Objective Sac regression (SR) is a surrogate marker of satisfied endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). This research aims to investigate the incidence and predictors of SR in a Chinese population. Design Single centre retrospective cohort study. Methods Consecutive patients with infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) who underwent standard EVAR were retrospectively reviewed. SR was defined as sac shrinkage > 5 mm on computed tomography images, while major SR (MaSR) was ≥ 10 mm sac shrinkage. The cumulative rate was calculated by Kaplan–Meier analysis and predictors were identified by the Cox regression model. Results A total of 469 patients (median age, 71 years old) were included. The majority of them (86.6 %) were male. With a median time of 13.6 months, SR was detected in 129 (27.5 %) patients after the index EVAR. Compared with never smokers, current smokers were more likely to experience SR (adjusted HR 2.630, p < .001), while former smokers did not show any significant difference. Multivariate Cox regression also showed that maximal aneurysm diameter (adjusted HR 1.012, p = 0.035) and female (adjusted HR 1.675, p = .045) were independent predictors of SR. A total of 51 (10.9 %) patients had MaSR at a median time of 15.4 months after EVAR. In multivariate analysis, maximal aneurysm diameter and Zenith stent graft were independently associated with MaSR. Conclusion In Chinese population, the incidence of SR and MaSR was 27.5 % and 10.9 % after EVAR, respectively. Maximal aneurysm diameter and female were independent predictors of SR. Compared with never smokers, it was more likely to have SR in current smokers.