Clinical prediction factors of nonchronic total occlusion lesion progression in patients with unstable angina receiving percutaneous coronary intervention for chronic total occlusion lesions

Background In this study, we investigated clinical prediction factors of nonchronic total occlusion lesion (NCTOL) progression in patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for chronic total occlusion (CTO) lesions. Methods In total, 450 patients with unstable angina (mean age = 57.1 ± 9.2 years) who underwent PCI for CTO lesions between January 2016 and December 2018 at Beijing Anzhen Hospital were enrolled in this study. A clinical and angiographic follow-up examination was performed 12 months postoperatively. The patients were divided into NCTOL progression (145 cases) and control (305 cases) groups based on the outcome of the 12-month angiographic follow-up. The clinical and angiographic features of the participants were analyzed. Results The adenosine diphosphate-induced platelet aggregation (ADP-IPA) rate and levels of lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) in the NCTOL progression group were significantly higher than those in the control group (51.89 ± 14.81 vs. 39.63 ± 17.12, P < 0.01; 0.22 ± 0.26 vs. 0.14 ± 0.18, P < 0.05, respectively). Logistic regression showed that the ADP-IPA rate (odds ratio = 1.047, 95 % confidence interval: 1.014–1.082, P = 0.005) and Lp(a) (odds ratio = 11.972, 95 % confidence interval: 1.230–116.570, P = 0.033) were independent predictors of NCTOL progression. Partial correlation analysis demonstrated that the ADP-IPA rate was positively correlated with NCTOL progression (r = 0. 351, P < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the boundary point of the ADP-IPA rate to predict NCTOL progression was 30 % (sensitivity, 86.2 %; specificity, 68.9 %). Conclusions NCTOL progression is an important cause of recurrent PCI in patients with coronary artery disease after PCI for CTO lesions. The ADP-IPA rate is a useful predictor for NCTOL progression in patients with unstable angina who undergo PCI for CTO lesions.