Ecometric models of small mammal hypsodonty can estimate paleoprecipitation across eastern Africa

Ecometric analyses use the relationships between functional traits and the environment at the community level to quantitatively estimate past climatic and environmental variables at fossil sites. Hypsodonty (tooth crown height) in North American rodent and lagomorph (Glires) communities is correlated with mean annual temperature and annual precipitation. Here, we examine the community hypsodonty of Africa Glires to test if this relationship translates to a continent with more extreme climates and to quantify paleoprecipitation at important fossil sites. Categorical hypsodonty values were gathered from the literature and museum collections for 94 modern African taxa (88%). We used maximum likelihood to model the ecometric relationship between hypsodonty and annual precipitation. We then produced trait-based estimates of paleoprecipitation for 26 well-sampled fossil localities from eastern Africa over the last 5.7 Ma. We confirmed other regional studies by identifying increasing aridity and decreasing annual precipitation (824 mm to 480 mm) in the Late Miocene of Kenya. From the Ethiopian Shungura Formation, we estimated temporal fluctuations in precipitation that correspond with the presence or absence of paleolakes and rivers. Small mammal community hypsodonty illustrates that east African communities have converged towards mesodont means and high standard deviations in response to climate change.