Three main currency strategies have been established in the literature: carry, value, and momentum. We investigate momentum using data on 27 currencies (10 developed countries and 17 emerging markets). We find that momentum returns are driven by emerging market currencies, while the currencies of developed countries have no impact. An emerging market- specific dollar risk factor can partly explain these momentum returns. We carry out permutation tests and find support for our hypothesis that momentum returns are driven by emerging markets. However, we show that transaction costs reduce momentum returns considerably. We also show that the returns are time-varying and have been unattractive recently. The implications of this study for financial practitioners are to focus on emerging market currencies and optimise transaction costs when executing momentum strategies.
This study is designed to investigate the role of proactive forensic auditing techniques in preventing fraudulent activities among NGOs in the eThekwini region. The population of this study comprised 87 knowledgeable staff in the field of fraud risk management and auditing selected from 30 NGOs. Primary data was gathered using an online questionnaire and semi-structured interviews. Quantitative data were analysed with the aid of SPSS version 27, while NVivo12 assisted in thematically analysing all interview questions. Analysis of movement Structures (AMOS version 27) was also used to estimate statistical models. Empirical findings proved that a proactive approach to forensic auditing techniques could hugely assist in preventing fraudulent activities among non-government organisations in the eThekwini region, South Africa. Relying on these empirical findings, this study proposes a model for proactively preventing financial and economic crimes in NGOs. This study contributes to the current body of knowledge and further contributes to fraud risk management in NGOs. This study has also provided a very robust plan for future researchers.
Under the new regulation based on Basel solvency framework, known as Basel III and Basel IV, financial institutions must calculate the market risk capital requirements based on the Expected Shortfall (ES) measure, replacing the Value at Risk (VaR) measure. In the financial literature, there are many papers dedicated to compare VaR approaches but there are few studies focusing in comparing ES approaches. To cover this gap, we have carried out a comprenhensive comparative of VaR and ES models applied to IBEX-35 stock index. The comparison has been carried out from a twofold perspective: accurate risk measure and loss functions. The results indicate that the method based on the conditional Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is the best in estimating market risk, outperforming Parametric method and Filter Historical Simulation.
This study focuses on the implications of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on the strategic risk of the listed financial and non-financial firms in Nigeria. The population of the study consists of 154 firms, while the census sampling technique was adopted to arrive at an adjusted population of 133. The correlation research design was implored using a positivism approach. Descriptive statistics, correlation matrix, multiple regression, confirmatory analysis and T-test were used to analyze the data extracted from the annual report. Hence, the result of the study shows that corporate social responsibility has a negative impact on strategic risk. The confirmatory factor analysis found that CSR engagement influences strategic risk (SRK), but to varying degrees, contradicting findings from the Frontier Model, PCSE, and GLS that both sectors will have similar results if they engage in CSR effectively. It is therefore suggested that the management of strategic risks need to be more integrated in corporate strategy as the capacity to listen to business stakeholders' viewpoints on social and environmental issues becomes a competitive need.
The escalation of complexity and multidimensional (internal and external) factors bring companies to a position where risk management should be of main concern. Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) adoption and the extent of ERM implementation is seen as a guaranteeing element to increase the value of the companies over the long term due to adequate risk awareness and risk management strategies in all relevant business functions. This study examines the extent of ERM implementation on the initial performance of companies in the Malaysian IPO market. Testing a sample of 105 Malaysian IPOs issued from January 2012 to December 2020 using a linear regression model, ERM sophistication is positively and significantly related to the initial performance of Malaysian IPOs, offering support to the proposition in this study. Equally important is the reciprocal of offer price, subscription ratio, and market condition, which are also significant factors in companies’ post-IPO performance. This study benefits the market regulators and investors on the importance of ERM sophistication to companies’ initial performance.
