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    Economic Papers

    Economic Papers

    JournalISSN 0812-0439eISSN 1759-3441中科院 经济学 4区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(1981)

    排序
    1Do Geopolitical Risks and Institutional Quality Deter Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from a Panel of 41 Countries
    Sheikh Murtaza, Mohd Nadeem Bhat, Wajahat Ali, Mohd Asif Khan, Muhammad Tahir

    This study applies panel data analysis to investigate how the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in 41 countries from 1995 to 2024 vary with geopolitical risk (GPR) and institutional quality. Using a Hausman specification test, a fixed‐effects model with clustered robust standard errors is used to address unobserved country heterogeneity and enhance the reliability of estimates. The results show that GPR and inflation negatively affect FDI inflows. The quality of institutions, as represented by the Rule of Law (ROL), is negatively associated with FDI, suggesting that FDI investors in some emerging economies might prioritise cost competitiveness over stronger institutions. Market openness (MO) and population size have a positive impact on FDI inflows, while GDP has a negative impact. The results underscore the need to uphold macroeconomic stability, competitiveness and policies conducive to foreign investment amid increased geopolitical uncertainty. This study not only reviews the literature on the determinants of FDI but also offers policy implications for building investment resilience amid geopolitical uncertainty by providing comprehensive evidence from a panel of diverse developed and emerging economies.

    2026
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    2Examining the Financial Kuznets Curve: How Finance, Governance and Green Economy Impact Renewable Energy Consumption in Selected G20 Countries
    Prince Singh,Pabitra Kumar Jena, Cosimo Magazzino

    This article examines the non‐linear association between financial development and renewable energy consumption over 16 selected G20 countries from 1996 to 2022, introducing and empirically validating the Financial Kuznets Curve (FKC). Using a bank‐based composite financial development index and retaining the PMG‐ARDL estimator, the findings confirm an N‐shaped FKC characterised by a coefficient (), over three development phases, with turning points identified at financial development values of 0.114 and 2.491, confirming findings using FMOLS, DOLS and IV‐2SLS as robustness. During intermediate stages, the results are consistent with capital being temporarily redirected towards fossil‐fuel‐intensive sectors, associated with a suppression of REC. At advanced stages, mature and diversified financial systems re‐emerge as strong facilitators of clean energy adoption. Governance quality, green economy and FDI each exert significant positive long‐run effects on REC, while carbon emissions reflect a structural fossil‐fuel lock‐in that dampens renewable energy shares. The error‐correction term confirms a stable long‐run cointegrating association, with approximately 50% of disequilibria corrected each year. Providing empirical evidence for stage‐specific financial policies and green economy frameworks in line with global climate commitments and the Sustainable Development Goals.

    2026
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    3Does US Monetary Policy Have Cross‐Border Spillover Effect on Canadian Money Demand?
    Nazif Durmaz, Siyuqi He

    This study focuses on investigating whether US monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) has a cross‐border spillover effect on monetary demand in Canada. We assess long‐term dynamic changes and potential asymmetric effects, using quarterly data from 1996 to 2025 with an ARDL and a nonlinear ARDL approach. The results of linear ARDL showed that for every 10 per cent increase in US monetary policy uncertainty, Canadian real money demand would increase by approximately 0.43 per cent. This indicates that the spillover effects through trade, finance and exchange rate channels are relatively mild but detectable.

    2026
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    4Policy Frameworks and Economic Incentives to Effectively Stimulate the Renewable Hydrogen Market in Australia
    Tahlia Nolan,Tim Nelson

    This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of policies and economic incentives aimed at developing a renewable hydrogen industry in Australia. As global decarbonisation efforts intensify, renewable hydrogen is emerging as a potential substitute for fossil fuels. However, substantial technological and economic challenges must be overcome to achieve competitiveness and widespread adoption. This study examines both demand- and supply-side policies, presenting a novel taxonomy to guide Australian policymakers in shaping effective strategies. A structured desktop assessment is then applied to key policy instruments and to Australia's current policy mix, identifying strengths in supply-side support but weaker coverage of demand creation, price competitiveness and market formation. To complement this assessment, a stakeholder survey of government and industry participants is used to evaluate the importance and adequacy of current policy settings. The survey identifies the largest shortfalls in reliable demand creation, access to low-cost renewable electricity, predictable pricing signals and long-term policy certainty. It also shows that these gaps translate directly into commercial requirements, including long-term offtake contracts, high certainty thresholds and a persistent risk premium for investment. The findings suggest that Australia's policy framework is too supply-led, and that stronger demand-side and market-formation measures are required to support a scalable renewable hydrogen industry.

    2026
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    5The Nuanced Effects of Fiscal Decentralisation on Local Economic Growth: A Spatial Perspective from Vietnam
    Nguyen Chi Hai,Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Pham My Duyen, Tra Van Trung

    This study examines the impacts of fiscal decentralisation and spatial proximity on local economic growth in Vietnam, utilising panel data from 63 provinces and cities during the period 2011-2020. Spatial panel econometric models are employed to capture both the direct and indirect effects of these factors. The findings reveal that fiscal decentralisation has a positive effect on economic growth through the ratio of central government budget subsidise to local funding, while local public expenditure exerts a positive influence. Spatial proximity demonstrates substantial positive spillover effects; however, spatial competition and institutional influence from neighbouring provinces appear minor and statistically insignificant. These results underscore the critical roles of fiscal autonomy, local governance and regional spillovers in fostering local economic growth in Vietnam, offering valuable insights into the relationships between fiscal decentralisation, local growth and regional spillovers.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Werner Roeger128128
    Kieran Mc Morrow77119
    Jan In 'T Veld5529
    Sarath Delpachitra3998
    Jurgen Von Hagen3802
    Alessandro Turrini37111
    Brian Dollery37039
    Andrew Hughes Hallett3702
    Paul De Grauwe3701
    Diana Beal3699

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Brian Dollery37039
    Werner Roeger128128
    Kieran Mc Morrow77119
    Lin Crase18018
    Alex Millmow17618
    financial affairs4915
    Michael A Kortt11214
    Peter Abelson18014
    Peter Bishop Dixon9913
    Malcolm Abbott9113

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