Aspects of the relationship between population growth and socioeconomic development are discussed. The geographical focus is on developing countries.
Regional differences in the pace of the demographic transition in Romania are analyzed. The focus is on the period 1975-1985.
Methodologies for measuring migration are examined using data for the provinces into which Romania was divided for the period 1966-1977.
Current demographic trends in Romania are reviewed using official data up to 1985. Factors considered include the rise in mortality, a modest increase in fertility, rapid demographic aging, and high rates of divorce. However, the author is critical of the lack of progress in Romanian demography in recent years. He points out that the goals of Romanian population policy--increased fertility, decreased mortality, and improvement of the age and sex distribution of the population--will not be easily reached without demographic reserch.
Ten alternative scenarios for population projections for Romania up to the year 2033 are presented. The projections for 2033 vary from 24.3 to 29.1 million. In all scenarios, the projections indicate a high level of demographic aging, the consequences of which are discussed.
