Abstract Many sectors rely upon weather information, yet raw numerical weather prediction (NWP) output alone is rarely sufficient to support real‐world decisions. Post‐processing has therefore been developed to make NWP data more usable. However, different post‐processing approaches produce data with different properties, preserving some kinds of consistency while discarding others. At present, it is difficult to discuss these techniques clearly because there is no shared understanding of what is meant by consistency. This paper explores different types of consistency in forecast products and proposes a set of definitions to support clearer communication and the design of post‐processing systems.
Abstract Inoculation theory is a long‐studied communication strategy for building resistance to influence. Weather myth‐busting often already does part of the work of inoculation by raising and refuting myths. This short article considers #MythBusterMonday, a social media initiative from the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office in State College, Pennsylvania (USA), as an example of this close fit. It argues that existing corrective messages can be strengthened with relatively little added work by more explicitly preparing people for misleading weather claims. A worked example focused on flood safety shows how a message can move beyond correcting misinformation toward pre‐emptive inoculation.
Abstract Here we present a comprehensive analysis of the effects of the moderate partial solar eclipse of 29 March 2025 on meteorological conditions over the UK, based on 1‐min‐resolution data from ~250 automatic weather stations in the Met Office’s Meteorological Monitoring Network, finding a modest but nevertheless significant surface air temperature response of −0.44 ± 0.52°C. The temperature reduction during the eclipse was greater for sites with clearer skies, which tended to be in southeast, southern and central England. In contrast to several previous eclipses studied over the region during the last few decades, no substantial drop in wind speed was detected. A search for eclipse‐induced gravity waves also came back negative, but this might partly reflect instrumental limitations.
Abstract In late November 2025, torrential rainfall amplified by Cyclone Senyar caused catastrophic flooding and over 1100 fatalities across northern Sumatra, Peninsular Malaysia and southern Thailand, where fitted extreme value distributions suggest local four‐day accumulated rainfall corresponded to 0.1% annual probability. Rapid event attribution analysis using convection‐permitting pseudo–global warming ensemble simulations indicates that anthropogenic warming since the 1850s enhanced four‐day rainfall by over 150mm. Future climates (2070s and 2090s) under SSP2‐4.5 (medium forcing middle of the road pathway) experience further amplification, with some local rates increasing by 21% for every degree of temperature rise, underscoring critical climate change risks.
Abstract Storm Goretti was one of the most intense depressions to affect South West England and occurred as one of the sequence of storms of winter 2025/2026. Gale‐force winds affected many parts of southern England, the Channel Islands and northern France as it moved eastwards on 8/9 January 2026, adding to the damage of its predecessor Storm Bram . Its effects began a damaging spell of weather, continued by Storms Ingrid and Chandra later in January. It also brought extreme gust speeds to some areas.
