INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS(2025)
Univ Oviedo
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摘要
Distortion or neighbourhood models are useful tools in the imprecise probability theory allowing to robustify a probabilistic model by considering a neighbourhood around a given probability measure. In this work, we tackle the more general problem of distorting a lower probability. This problem can be interesting when we believe that a given lower probability is too precise, or in coalitional game theory when the set of solutions is empty. Our main purpose is to investigate how the linear vacuous and pari mutuel models can be defined for the distortion of lower probabilities, and for this aim we address the problem in a more general manner: we extend the vertical barrier models, which include the linear vacuous and pari mutuel models, and investigate the properties they satisfy.
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关键词
distortion models,vertical barrier model,linear vacuous model,pari mutuel model,total variation model