Herding Cats: Children and Adults Infer Collective Decision Speed from Team Size and Diversity, but Disagree about Whether Consensus Strength Matters More Than Team Size.

Collaboration can make collective judgments more accurate than individual judgments, but it also comes with costs in time, effort, and social cohesion. Here we focus on time costs. How do we estimate these costs? In two experiments, we introduce children and adults to two teams in which the teammates disagree about the optimal solution to a novel problem, and ask which team would need more time to reach a consensus decision. We find that all ages expect slower decisions from teams with more people or factions, and expect the number of factions to matter more than the number of people. But only adults expect decisions initially endorsed by a stronger faction to be faster than those endorsed by a weaker faction. Results are discussed in context of children's reasoning about power and consensus in group dynamics.