IMAGE-DERIVED FEATURES IMPROVE PROGNOSTIC MODELING IN POST-SURGICAL PATIENTS WITH IDH WILD-TYPE GLIOBLASTOMA

Post-operative prognostication in glioma patients remains a clinical challenge, particularly given the heterogeneity in tumor biology and patient outcomes. We evaluated whether image-derived features from post-operative imaging improve survival modeling beyond established clinicopathologic factors. We analyzed a cohort of 71 post-surgical glioma patients treated at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre with known clinicopathologic features including age, histological classification, IDH mutation status, MGMT methylation status, extent of resection, and performance status. A baseline Cox proportional hazards model was fit to clinical variables. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics from post-operative CT and MRI across three regions of interest: whole brain, tumor bed, and peritumoral ring. Features underwent stepwise unsupervised reduction (variance filtering, exclusion of volume-correlated features, and removal of remaining collinear features), followed by dimensionality reduction via principal component analysis. Combined clinical and imaging models were evaluated in the overall cohort and stratified by IDH mutation status. In the overall cohort, the clinical model was highly prognostic (C-index 0.74, p ~ 3.2×10⁻⁶). Adding imaging features improved performance (C-index 0.79) but was not significant (p ~ 0.31). Subset analysis revealed differential effects by IDH status. In IDH-mutant gliomas (n=24), neither clinical nor combined models were significant. In IDH wild-type glioblastoma (n=47), the clinical model achieved C-index 0.75 (p=0.04). The addition of imaging features significantly improved model performance (C-index 0.83, p=0.03), with selected imaging components contributing independent prognostic value after adjustment for clinical variables. Post-hoc analysis of radiomic feature importance (random forest ranking) revealed that top contributing features were drawn from both CT and MRI modalities, with most sourced from the whole brain region. In post-surgical patients with IDH wild-type glioblastoma, image-derived features from post-operative imaging can significantly enhance prognostic modeling beyond known clinicopathologic factors. These preliminary findings support the potential role of radiomic biomarkers in refining risk stratification for this patient subgroup.