Machine Learning-Based Classification of Extremism Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents the first published application of multiple existing machine learning methods to a subset of features taken from the Profiles of Individual Radicalization in the United States (PIRUS) database to predict the feature ‘violent’. The best-performing model in terms of accuracy is the Hist Gradient Boosting model, with an accuracy of 89.06%, which is an improvement of more than 2.5% compared to the benchmark application. Permutation Feature Importance (PFI) and the explanation framework SHAP were then applied to explain the model predictions. Using both of these techniques together allows for a holistic view of both the model's inner workings and the impact of the features on the results.