: This effort focused on representation and evaluation of plans accounting for uncertainty in the parameters upon which the plan is based and also uncertainty in the outcomes that will result from potential actions of the plan. Methods used to accomplish these results included the use of Action Networks, and development of a suite of analysis tools in support of the AFRL Campaign Assessment Tool (CAT - AKA Causal Analysis Tool). Action networks is a language for representing actions and their effects based on Bayesian networks. The analysis tools were intended to provide supporting analysis of air campaign plans including analysis of the value of observing new information and the value of controlling key uncertainties.
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关键词
Decision-making,Uncertainty Mitigation,Group Model Building